It’s day four at COP and many negotiating tracks now have draft texts.
There were more than 100 agenda items at the start of the summit, of which 11 have been postponed or deferred. Another 44 now have some sort of draft text (see chart).
That leaves 48 items with no draft text to date.
This is all pretty normal – as I said, it’s day four.
Zooming in on some of the specific draft texts, you can see clear faultlines.
Take the “global goal on adaptation”.
The draft begins with language on the “era of 1.5C overshoot”, which “makes adaptation more difficult”. (NB the preamble is in square brackets, meaning it is not yet agreed.)
Then lower down the draft, there are three “options” around the goal, agreed at COP30 last year, to triple adaptation finance:
- No text
- Push discussions into the separate “climate finance work programme”
- Define the baseline for “tripling” finance as $40bn in 2025, rising to $120bn by 2035
Here’s paragraph 63 under option 3:
NB the “no text” option means that some countries don’t want to mention finance in this track at all.
Turning to the draft text on the “mitigation work programme”, there’s clear disagreement over how long this should continue, whether until 2030 or 2040, potentially with reviews built in along the way:
Another notable section in the MWP draft is bracketed text on establishing a “mitigation committee”. This is an idea being pushed by Switzerland, to create a permanent body – with an associated permanent fixture on the COP agenda – specifically to discuss cutting emissions.
It’s unclear if this idea has any legs, but certainly interesting to see it appearing in the draft text.
(HT @natalie who spotted this in the draft)
If you want to stay up to date with the latest drafts, keep an eye on our text tracker.